Bayesian estimation methods form a dynamic branch of statistical inference, utilising Bayes’ theorem to update probabilities in light of new evidence. This framework combines prior knowledge with ...

The Annals of Applied Statistics, Vol. 8, No. 2 (June 2014), pp. 852-885 (34 pages) Poverty maps are used to aid important political decisions such as allocation of development funds by governments ...

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (Statistics in Society), Vol. 180, No. 4 (OCTOBER 2017), pp. 1191-1209 (19 pages) Area level models, such as the Fay–Herriot model, aim to improve ...

Animals living in groups make movement decisions that depend, among other factors, on social interactions with other group members. Our present understanding of social rules in animal collectives is ...

The empirical Bayes estimation is based on Bayes statistics. It integrates a correlation method with statistical estimations to integrate prior knowledge or beliefs about the parameters of the dataset ...

We suggest a new method for integrating volatility information for estimating the value-at-risk and conditional value-at-risk of a portfolio. This new method is developed from the perspective of ...

The covariance matrix of asset returns is the key input for many problems in finance and economics. This paper introduces a Bayesian nonparametric method to estimate the ex post covariance matrix from ...

Bayesian networks, also known as Bayes nets, belief networks, or decision networks, are a powerful tool for understanding and reasoning about complex systems under uncertainty. They are essentially ...

Before the outbreak of coronavirus, the seasonal flu was one of the most dangerous infectious diseases, but a lot of people have trouble telling the difference between a flu and a cold by their ...