YR4 continues to captivate global attention as NASA tracks its path, lowering the risk of Earth impact to 0.28%, but concerns remain, with a new possibility of a Moon collision.

NASA has revised the chances of asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth on December 22, 2032, reducing it to 0.28%. There are indications it may collide with the Moon instead.

Even in the increasingly unlikely event of an impact from YR4, Oregon and the Pacific Northwest appear to be safe from impact. Computer models showed areas of South America, Africa and southeast Asia would have the highest risk in the event of an impact, based on what astronomers know about the asteroid’s orbit.

New observations have dramatically reduced the chances of asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth in 2032, lowering the risk to minimal levels, but its extraordinarily close approach will offer astronomers th

An asteroid has a slight chance of hitting Earth in 2032. Here's why the odds are a moving target, according to the astronomer who invented the scale used to measure such risks.

An asteroid discovered in December and named YR4 has a small chance of hitting Earth in 2032. But scientists keep changing the odds. We asked an expert to break it down for us.

The asteroid — which was initially discovered in December 2024 — is large enough to destroy a whole city, according to scientists